flawfence is a Polymarket esports trader, best ranked #15 on the monthly leaderboard and last ranked in Sept 2026. Alpha keeps the record of every trader it has tracked: the settled record, open positions and recent trades are below.
Trader
former top trader
Best rank
#15
Esports · monthly leaderboard
Last ranked
Sept 2026
Not on the current board
Monthly P&L then
—
Not recorded
P&L history
Polymarket profile chart
24h
+$15.3K
7 days
+$162K
30 days
+$156K
All time
+$527K
As charted on this trader’s Polymarket profile: every market they trade, with open positions marked to market. Polymarket’s own accounting — it can differ from the settled-position figures below, which are counted from position records.
Settled performance
444 positions
Realized P&L
+$3.4M
Every settled position, all markets · incl. +$3.8K realized on open positions
Win rate
78.2%
341 won · 95 lost · 8 flat
Positions
444
closed · 376 still open
Open P&L
−$2.9M
Mark-to-market, not yet settled
Avg win
+$10.5K
Avg loss
−$1.8K
Profit factor
21.03
Total won ÷ total lost
Avg per position
+$7.7K
Return on stake
20.5%
Realised P&L ÷ $16.7M staked, settled positions — not ROI on capital
Markets traded
733
Settled and open
Counted from Polymarket’s settled position records — not modelled or estimated. Win rate counts positions, not dollars: a trader can win less than half their positions and still be well ahead if the winners are larger, which is common here. Positions that settled at exactly zero are excluded from the win-rate denominator.
Biggest settled positions
| Biggest win | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | +$129K |
| Biggest loss | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | TEAM VISION | −$56.0K |
By game
| Game | Positions | W / L | Win rate | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike | 3 | 3 / 0 | 100.0% | +$120K |
| Dota 2 | 2 | 1 / 1 | 50.0% | −$54.1K |
| Non-esports / unclassified | 439 | 337 / 94 | 78.2% | +$3.3M |
Game is read from each market’s title, the same way the feed labels it. Markets it cannot identify are grouped under “Other”.
Open positions
AS OF 0s ago376 open
| Market | Outcome | Value | Entry | Current | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | $104,530 | 37¢ | 88¢ | +$60.7K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | $61,238 | 82¢ | 92¢ | +$6.4K |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | $49,140 | 69¢ | 66¢ | −$2.7K |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | $39,407 | 42¢ | 51¢ | +$6.8K |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | Yes | $39,077 | 51¢ | 54¢ | +$1.9K |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | $31,755 | 46¢ | 50¢ | +$2.3K |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | $27,722 | 13¢ | 12¢ | −$3.4K |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | $26,350 | 86¢ | 82¢ | −$1.5K |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | $25,980 | 87¢ | 87¢ | −$116 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | $24,645 | 34¢ | 32¢ | −$1.9K |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | $24,584 | 35¢ | 59¢ | +$9.7K |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $20,801 | 32¢ | 33¢ | +$239 |
Largest 12 of 376 open positions, by held value.
Recent trades
41 observed
Trades under $100 are recorded but not shown, here or anywhere else in Alpha. This list is filtered by size only. The live feed applies more — it shows buys, so the 8 sells here will not appear there, and it opens on a higher size than this floor.