greyoctober is a Polymarket esports trader and last ranked in Oct 2026. Alpha keeps the record of every trader it has tracked: the settled record, open positions and recent trades are below.
Trader
former top trader
Best rank
—
Esports · monthly leaderboard
Last ranked
Oct 2026
Not on the current board
Monthly P&L then
—
Not recorded
P&L history
Polymarket profile chart
24h
$0
7 days
$0
30 days
$0
All time
+$447K
As charted on this trader’s Polymarket profile: every market they trade, with open positions marked to market. Polymarket’s own accounting — it can differ from the settled-position figures below, which are counted from position records.
Settled performance
600 positions
Realized P&L
−$1.7M
Every settled position, all markets · incl. −$255 realized on open positions
Win rate
39.2%
235 won · 365 lost
Positions
600
closed · 69 still open
Open P&L
−$518K
Mark-to-market, not yet settled
Avg win
+$9.1K
Avg loss
−$10.5K
Profit factor
0.56
Total won ÷ total lost
Avg per position
−$2.8K
Return on stake
-13.5%
Realised P&L ÷ $12.5M staked, settled positions — not ROI on capital
Markets traded
658
Settled and open
Counted from Polymarket’s settled position records — not modelled or estimated. Win rate counts positions, not dollars: a trader can win less than half their positions and still be well ahead if the winners are larger, which is common here. This trader has more history than was fetched — figures cover the most recent 600 settled positions.
Biggest settled positions
| Biggest win | Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets | Hurricanes | +$70.0K |
| Biggest loss | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | Team Falcons | −$102K |
By game
| Game | Positions | W / L | Win rate | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant | 224 | 118 / 106 | 52.7% | +$92.6K |
| Counter-Strike | 72 | 29 / 43 | 40.3% | −$247K |
| League of Legends | 59 | 14 / 45 | 23.7% | −$128K |
| Call of Duty | 8 | 0 / 8 | 0.0% | −$21.7K |
| Dota 2 | 7 | 1 / 6 | 14.3% | −$1.0K |
| Rainbow Six | 2 | 0 / 2 | 0.0% | −$1.4K |
| Non-esports / unclassified | 228 | 73 / 155 | 32.0% | −$1.4M |
Game is read from each market’s title, the same way the feed labels it. Markets it cannot identify are grouped under “Other”.
Open positions
AS OF 0s ago69 open
| Market | Outcome | Value | Entry | Current | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5 | Over | $0 | 49¢ | 0¢ | −$53.5K |
| UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card) | Kamaru Usman | $0 | 34¢ | 0¢ | −$23.8K |
| Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B | B8 | $0 | 57¢ | 0¢ | −$39.8K |
| Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox | $0 | 53¢ | 0¢ | −$31.8K |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs | MOUZ | $0 | 35¢ | 0¢ | −$18.6K |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Thunder | $0 | 67¢ | 0¢ | −$33.5K |
| Valorant: MIBR vs Global Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D | Global Esports | $0 | 38¢ | 0¢ | −$18.6K |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A | Legacy | $0 | 32¢ | 0¢ | −$14.4K |
| Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs | GamerLegion | $0 | 18¢ | 0¢ | −$7.7K |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 | Over | $0 | 49¢ | 0¢ | −$19.6K |
| Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 Winner | FURIA Esports | $0 | 67¢ | 0¢ | −$26.4K |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 | Under | $0 | 43¢ | 0¢ | −$16.4K |
Largest 12 of 69 open positions, by held value.
Recent trades
16 observed
| Trader | Event | Position | Size | Price | To win | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| greyoctober↗ | CS2Vitality vs Lynn Vision (BO3)Esports World Cup Group C ? | BUYVitality | $92,000WHALE | 92¢ | +9% | 52d |
| greyoctober↗ | LOLVivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3)CBLOL Regular Season ? | BUYLOS | $14,600LARGE | 73¢ | +37% | 53d |
| greyoctober↗ | VALJoblife vs Pcific Esports (BO3)VCT EMEA Play-Ins ? | BUYPcific Esports | $105 | 30¢ | +233% | 55d |
| greyoctober↗ | VALJoblife vs Pcific Esports (BO3)VCT EMEA Play-Ins ? | BUYPcific Esports | $1,080 | 30¢ | +233% | 55d |
| greyoctober↗ | VALJL (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5)Map Handicap ? | BUYPcific Esports | $138 | 58¢ | +72% | 55d |
| greyoctober↗ | VALJoblife vs Pcific Esports (BO3)VCT EMEA Play-Ins ? | BUYPcific Esports | $211 | 30¢ | +233% | 55d |
| greyoctober↗ | VALTeam Heretics vs Natus VincereMap 2 Winner ? | BUYTeam Heretics | $219 | 62¢ | +61% | 56d |
| greyoctober↗ | CS2Natus Vincere vs 3DMAX (BO1)Esports World Cup Group D ? | BUYNatus Vincere | $569 | 74¢ | +35% | 56d |
| greyoctober↗ | CS2Natus Vincere vs 3DMAX (BO1)Esports World Cup Group D ? | BUYNatus Vincere | $1,898 | 74¢ | +35% | 56d |
| greyoctober↗ | CS2MIBR vs Astralis (BO1)Esports World Cup Group B ? | BUYMIBR | $332 | 43¢ | +133% | 56d |
| greyoctober↗ | CS2MIBR vs Astralis (BO1)Esports World Cup Group B ? | BUYMIBR | $615 | 43¢ | +133% | 56d |
| greyoctober↗ | CS2MIBR vs Astralis (BO1)Esports World Cup Group B ? | BUYMIBR | $291 | 43¢ | +133% | 56d |
| greyoctober↗ | CS2MIBR vs Astralis (BO1)Esports World Cup Group B ? | BUYMIBR | $754 | 43¢ | +133% | 56d |
| greyoctober↗ | CS2MIBR vs Astralis (BO1)Esports World Cup Group B ? | BUYMIBR | $260 | 43¢ | +133% | 56d |
| greyoctober↗ | CS2MIBR vs Astralis (BO1)Esports World Cup Group B ? | BUYMIBR | $226 | 43¢ | +133% | 56d |
| greyoctober↗ | CS2MIBR vs Astralis (BO1)Esports World Cup Group B ? | BUYMIBR | $140 | 43¢ | +133% | 56d |
Trades under $100 are recorded but not shown, here or anywhere else in Alpha. This list is filtered by size only. The live feed applies more — it shows buys only, and it opens on a higher size than this floor.