casualbet2020 is a Polymarket esports trader, best ranked #21 on the monthly leaderboard and last ranked in Sept 2026. Alpha keeps the record of every trader it has tracked: the settled record, open positions and recent trades are below.
Trader
former top trader
Best rank
#21
Esports · monthly leaderboard
Last ranked
Sept 2026
Not on the current board
Monthly P&L then
—
Not recorded
P&L history
Polymarket profile chart
24h
$0
7 days
$0
30 days
−$54.1K
All time
+$300K
As charted on this trader’s Polymarket profile: every market they trade, with open positions marked to market. Polymarket’s own accounting — it can differ from the settled-position figures below, which are counted from position records.
Settled performance
286 positions
Realized P&L
+$1.4M
Every settled position, all markets · incl. −$6.8K realized on open positions
Win rate
89.4%
252 won · 30 lost · 4 flat
Positions
286
closed · 173 still open
Open P&L
−$1.2M
Mark-to-market, not yet settled
Avg win
+$6.6K
Avg loss
−$6.7K
Profit factor
8.22
Total won ÷ total lost
Avg per position
+$5.1K
Return on stake
35.0%
Realised P&L ÷ $4.2M staked, settled positions — not ROI on capital
Markets traded
445
Settled and open
Counted from Polymarket’s settled position records — not modelled or estimated. Win rate counts positions, not dollars: a trader can win less than half their positions and still be well ahead if the winners are larger, which is common here. Positions that settled at exactly zero are excluded from the win-rate denominator.
Biggest settled positions
| Biggest win | Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins | Fire Flux Esports | +$52.1K |
| Biggest loss | Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Mandatory (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group A | Mandatory | −$49.7K |
By game
| Game | Positions | W / L | Win rate | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant | 226 | 196 / 26 | 88.3% | +$682K |
| Counter-Strike | 19 | 19 / 0 | 100.0% | +$388K |
| League of Legends | 8 | 7 / 1 | 87.5% | +$43.2K |
| Dota 2 | 2 | 1 / 1 | 50.0% | +$28.6K |
| Non-esports / unclassified | 31 | 29 / 2 | 93.5% | +$313K |
Game is read from each market’s title, the same way the feed labels it. Markets it cannot identify are grouped under “Other”.
Open positions
AS OF 2s ago173 open
Largest 12 of 173 open positions, by held value.
Recent trades
45 observed
| Trader | Event | Position | Size | Price | To win | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| casualbet2020↗ | —Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Lightweight, Main Card)UFC Fight Night ? | BUYJosiah Harrell | $10,226LARGE | 54¢ | +85% | 14d |
| casualbet2020↗ | —O/U 48.5Cardinals vs. 49ers ? | BUYUnder | $138 | 53¢ | +89% | 15d |
| casualbet2020↗ | —O/U 48.5Cardinals vs. 49ers ? | BUYUnder | $474 | 53¢ | +89% | 15d |
| casualbet2020↗ | —O/U 48.5Cardinals vs. 49ers ? | BUYUnder | $1,454 | 53¢ | +89% | 15d |
| casualbet2020↗ | —O/U 48.5Cardinals vs. 49ers ? | BUYUnder | $440 | 53¢ | +89% | 15d |
| casualbet2020↗ | —O/U 48.5Cardinals vs. 49ers ? | BUYUnder | $106 | 53¢ | +89% | 15d |
| casualbet2020↗ | —O/U 48.5Cardinals vs. 49ers ? | BUYUnder | $465 | 53¢ | +89% | 15d |
| casualbet2020↗ | —O/U 48.5Cardinals vs. 49ers ? | BUYUnder | $1,046 | 53¢ | +89% | 15d |
| casualbet2020↗ | —O/U 48.5Cardinals vs. 49ers ? | BUYUnder | $1,041 | 53¢ | +89% | 15d |
| casualbet2020↗ | —O/U 48.5Cardinals vs. 49ers ? | BUYUnder | $7,050LARGE | 53¢ | +89% | 15d |
| casualbet2020↗ | —O/U 48.5Cardinals vs. 49ers ? | BUYUnder | $2,799 | 53¢ | +89% | 15d |
| casualbet2020↗ | —O/U 46.5Chiefs vs. Dolphins ? | BUYUnder | $988 | 52¢ | +92% | 16d |
| casualbet2020↗ | VALTeam Liquid vs Paper RexMap 2 Winner ? | BUYTeam Liquid | $2,373 | 64¢ | +53% | 16d |
| casualbet2020↗ | —O/U 39.5Eagles vs. Titans ? | BUYOver | $273 | 51¢ | +96% | 20d |
| casualbet2020↗ | —O/U 39.5Eagles vs. Titans ? | BUYOver | $418 | 51¢ | +96% | 20d |
| casualbet2020↗ | —O/U 39.5Eagles vs. Titans ? | BUYOver | $7,724LARGE | 51¢ | +96% | 20d |
| casualbet2020↗ | —Panthers (-2.5)Spread ? | BUYFalcons | $4,900 | 49¢ | +104% | 20d |
| casualbet2020↗ | —Panthers (-2.5)Spread ? | BUYFalcons | $8,937LARGE | 49¢ | +104% | 20d |
| casualbet2020↗ | —Panthers (-2.5)Spread ? | BUYFalcons | $1,024 | 49¢ | +104% | 20d |
| casualbet2020↗ | —Panthers (-2.5)Spread ? | BUYFalcons | $9,567LARGE | 49¢ | +104% | 20d |
| casualbet2020↗ | CS2MOUZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Map Handicap ? | BUYNatus Vincere | $16,648LARGE | 64¢ | +56% | 22d |
| casualbet2020↗ | CS2MOUZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Map Handicap ? | BUYNatus Vincere | $367 | 64¢ | +56% | 22d |
| casualbet2020↗ | CS2MOUZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Map Handicap ? | BUYNatus Vincere | $933 | 64¢ | +56% | 22d |
| casualbet2020↗ | CS2MOUZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Map Handicap ? | BUYNatus Vincere | $154 | 64¢ | +56% | 22d |
| casualbet2020↗ | CS2MOUZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Map Handicap ? | BUYNatus Vincere | $146 | 64¢ | +56% | 22d |
| casualbet2020↗ | CS2MOUZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Map Handicap ? | BUYNatus Vincere | $302 | 64¢ | +56% | 22d |
| casualbet2020↗ | CS2MOUZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Map Handicap ? | BUYNatus Vincere | $192 | 64¢ | +56% | 22d |
| casualbet2020↗ | CS2MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs ? | BUYNatus Vincere | $1,210 | 37¢ | +170% | 22d |
| casualbet2020↗ | CS2MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs ? | BUYNatus Vincere | $370 | 37¢ | +170% | 22d |
| casualbet2020↗ | CS2MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs ? | BUYNatus Vincere | $302 | 37¢ | +170% | 22d |
| casualbet2020↗ | CS2MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs ? | BUYNatus Vincere | $109 | 37¢ | +170% | 22d |
| casualbet2020↗ | CS2MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs ? | BUYNatus Vincere | $288 | 37¢ | +170% | 22d |
| casualbet2020↗ | CS2MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs ? | BUYNatus Vincere | $1,025 | 37¢ | +170% | 22d |
| casualbet2020↗ | CS2MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs ? | BUYNatus Vincere | $2,745 | 37¢ | +170% | 22d |
| casualbet2020↗ | CS2MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs ? | BUYNatus Vincere | $203 | 37¢ | +170% | 22d |
| casualbet2020↗ | CS2MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs ? | BUYNatus Vincere | $259 | 37¢ | +170% | 22d |
| casualbet2020↗ | CS2MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs ? | BUYNatus Vincere | $454 | 37¢ | +170% | 22d |
| casualbet2020↗ | CS2MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs ? | BUYNatus Vincere | $234 | 37¢ | +170% | 22d |
| casualbet2020↗ | CS2MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs ? | BUYNatus Vincere | $305 | 37¢ | +170% | 22d |
| casualbet2020↗ | CS2MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs ? | BUYNatus Vincere | $212 | 37¢ | +170% | 22d |
| casualbet2020↗ | CS2MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs ? | BUYNatus Vincere | $370 | 37¢ | +170% | 22d |
| casualbet2020↗ | CS2MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs ? | BUYNatus Vincere | $3,700 | 37¢ | +170% | 22d |
| casualbet2020↗ | CS2MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs ? | BUYNatus Vincere | $408 | 37¢ | +170% | 22d |
| casualbet2020↗ | —Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros ? | BUYKansas City Royals | $5,414LARGE | 41¢ | +136% | 22d |
| casualbet2020↗ | —Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays ? | BUYAthletics | $7,549LARGE | 29¢ | +232% | 23d |
Trades under $100 are recorded but not shown, here or anywhere else in Alpha. This list is filtered by size only. The live feed applies more — it shows buys only, and it opens on a higher size than this floor.